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Arecibo Radar Threatened & Possible Human Flights to NEAs

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Article Posted: November 16, 2006

By: David Morrison

Below are two reports, one on radar studies at Arecibo of binary asteroid 1999 KW4, the other on NASA planning for possible human visits to NEAs as part of the Space Exploration Vision.



The report on Arecibo radar studies of 1999 KW4 comes at a difficult time, when a senior review at NSF has recommended closing the Arecibo facility within the next five years. This is especially ominous for radar studies of NEAs, which were not evaluated by the review panel. Their recommendations were based almost entirely on the role that Arecibo plays as a radio telescope, not as the world's most powerful planetary radar facility. The radar observations at Arecibo could be terminated within a year. See the following link for more information on these plans. Note especially item 6, which discusses to the future of the Arecibo planetary radar.

http://reason.jpl.nasa.gov/~ostro/NAIC_implementation_of_SR_recs.pdf

The second story (from Leonard David at SPACE.com) refers to an on-going study within NASA of options for human piloted visits to NEAs as part of the new space exploration vision. One intriguing possibility is to visit an NEO before flying to the Moon. An analogy would be the highly successful Apollo 8 mission, which orbited the Moon before the actual lunar landing hardware was complete. Al Harris notes: "The idea of sending a manned mission to a near-Earth asteroid is very old; it's long been realized that such a mission is lower energy and shorter time than going to Mars, and could provide an intermediate challenge ahead of an actual trip to Mars. I attended a small workshop organized by Gene Shoemaker and Jack Schmitt back in the early to mid-80's down at JSC to discuss the logistics and scientific merits of such a mission. At about the same time Gene Shoemaker was advocating the NEA mission as the very easiest manned mission beyond the moon."

David Morrison

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OBSERVATIONS OF DOUBLE ASTEROID STRESS ARECIBO RADAR'S VITAL ROLE IN IDENTIFYING THREATS IN EARTH'S VICINITY

Lauren Gold
November 15, 2006

Researchers using the Arecibo Observatory's powerful radar have made the most detailed observations ever of a binary near-Earth asteroid (NEA) -- two clusters of rubble circling each other -- offering new clues about how such systems formed, the properties they share and the dynamics of their motion.

The observations, made by Steve Ostro, senior research scientist at the NASA/Caltech Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena (who earned his master's degree in engineering physics at Cornell), Jean-Luc Margot, assistant professor of astronomy at Cornell, and their colleagues, describe asteroid (66391) 1999 KW4 (called KW4). Their report appears in the latest issue (Nov. 24) of the journal Science. The double asteroid also appears on the cover.

KW4, they say, is actually a pair of light, porous clusters of rubble that circle each other as they orbit from a point closer to the sun than Mercury and then outward -- occasionally passing very close to Earth along the way. The bodies were discovered in 1999 but were not known to be binary until they were observed in May 2001, when they came within about 2.98 million miles of Earth -- their closest pass until 2036.

The researchers used antennas at Arecibo and NASA's Goldstone Deep Space Network -- the only telescopes with the radar capability for such observations. Arecibo, in Puerto Rico, is managed by the National Astronomy and Ionosphere Center at Cornell for the National Science Foundation.

KW4 is a valuable source of information for planetary scientists studying the formation and evolution of NEAs -- as well as for researchers studying how to mitigate the potential threat they pose to Earth. KW4 is classified a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid, but data show that its path will not intersect Earth's for at least 1,000 years.

Unlike single asteroids, many of whose physical properties are impossible to determine from Earth-based observations, binaries can reveal information about their mass and density by their interaction with each other. The researchers were able to reconstruct the orbit, mass, shape and density of KW4's two components, Alpha and Beta. They found an oddly shaped pair of dance partners, with Alpha, by far the larger (1.5 kilometers, or a little less than one mile, in diameter) of the two, spinning as fast as possible without breaking apart, and the smaller and denser Beta wobbling noticeably as it orbits its partner.

"It's the first time we have very detailed high-resolution images that allowed us to derive the shape of both components," said Margot. Viewed pole-on, Alpha looks circular; but from the side it looks more like a squashed diamond with rounded edges, showing a distinct ridge at the equator. A particle on Alpha's surface will be pulled toward the equator -- which means, strangely, that the body's highest point is also its lowest.

The study also involved the most precise tracking of an irregularly shaped binary system's motion -- information vital in learning how the two asteroids formed.

"The overwhelming majority of these binaries have primary components whose spins are very near the maximum of what they can sustain. It's a distinctive feature," said Margot. That indicates the systems could have been a single asteroid -- or pieces of a larger asteroid -- that were sent spinning by a close encounter with another body or by the effects of sunlight.

The system's orbit has brought it within about 9.3 million miles of Earth or closer dozens of times in the last several millennia, but not near any other planet.

As a whole, the Arecibo/Goldstone data on KW4 take the understanding of NEAs to a new level of precision, say researchers. The study also highlights the value of both telescopes involved: NASA's Goldstone, which is more steerable, and Arecibo, whose radar is an order of magnitude more powerful.

"They are complementary and both are essential," said Margot. Goldstone can track objects over a longer time period, but "you couldn't do it at this level of precision without the Arecibo data."

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NASA STUDIES MANNED ASTEROID MISSION

By Leonard David
Senior Space Writer, SPACE.com
16 November 2006

NASA is appraising a human mission to a near-Earth asteroid-gauging the scientific merit of the endeavor while testing out spacecraft gear, as well as mastering techniques that could prove useful if a space rock ever took aim for our planet.

Space agency teams are looking into use of Constellation hardware for a human Near-Earth Object (NEO) mission-an effort underway at NASA's Ames Research. Another study is delving into use of Constellation components to support an automated Mars sample return mission. That study is led by NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California.

The Constellation Program encompasses NASA's initial efforts to extend the human presence throughout the solar system. Major pieces of the Constellation Program-such as the Orion crew vehicle-are meant to support transport of humans and cargo to the Moon and to the International Space Station, while future efforts would sustain missions to Mars and beyond.

Astronauts, engineers and scientists at NASA's Johnson Space Center in Houston, Texas have been looking into the capabilities of the Orion vehicle for a mission to a near-Earth asteroid. "A human mission to a near Earth asteroid would be scientifically worthwhile," said Chris McKay, deputy scientist in the Constellation science office at the NASA Johnson Space Center. "It could be part of an overall program of understanding these objects. Also, it would be useful, instrumentally, in terms of understanding the threat they pose to the Earth."

Stationed at NASA's Ames Research Center located in California's Silicon Valley, McKay told SPACE.com that work is underway to evaluate the science enabled by sending crews to asteroids, and to judge how best to assure safe and efficient exploration.

Asteroids are relics from early solar system formation, McKay pointed out. "Then there's the whole, what I call the 'Bruce Willis factor'...the star in the movie Armageddon...and the ability to send significant assets to an asteroid."

"There's a lot of public resonance with this notion that NASA ought to be doing something about killer asteroids...to be able to send serious equipment to an asteroid," McKay observed. "The public wants us to have mastered the problem of dealing with asteroids. So being able to have astronauts go out there and sort of poke one with a stick would be scientifically valuable as well as demonstrate human capabilities," he said.

McKay emphasized that it's premature to send off a piloted mission to an asteroid to do countermeasure activities. "There could be testing of various approaches. But we don't know enough about asteroids right now to know the best strategy for mitigation," he said.

"It's a terrific mission if we can do it...and if it programmatically makes sense," said Former Apollo astronaut, Russell Schweickart, Chairman of the B612 Foundation, a group with the goal of significantly altering the orbit of an asteroid, in a controlled manner, by 2015.

Schweickart said that there are a number of "forward looking reasons" to put asteroids on NASA's lofty Moon, Mars and beyond agenda. The value of asteroids for on-the-spot resources, for one, was noted by Schweickart. Secondly, validating command and control skills in piloting up to an asteroid would be beneficial, he said.

Furthermore, a human venture to a space rock may well accelerate precursor robotic surveys of asteroids, Schweickart observed. "Early unmanned visits to asteroids...it's the same pattern as we did with the Moon and we're doing right now with Mars. It's all pretty logical," he told SPACE.com.

Public awareness regarding asteroids, via a human exploration initiative, would be helpful, Schweickart said. It's an opportunity for the public to be educated in reality, not in terms of Hollywood's version of asteroid-busting as seen in the movie, Armageddon.

Clearly, it will be first-things-first in testing the new Constellation architecture. And that means going to low-Earth orbital missions to wring out the systems and procedures. These are likely to be followed in rather quick succession by lunar orbital and landing missions.

"But a very natural, early extension of the exploration capabilities of this new vehicle architecture would be a 'quick dash' near-Earth asteroid rendezvous mission," said Dan Durda, a senior research scientist in the Department of Space Studies at the Southwest Research Institute, Boulder, Colorado. "That kind of early demonstration mission might last no more than 60 or 90 days," Durda said, "and take the crew no farther than a few lunar distances away from Earth." Durda said he could imagine that such a flight might be made before the first lunar landing even-perhaps after a lunar orbital mission or two-in order to try out spacecraft systems on an even longer-duration flight.

What would a space crew do once they've arrived at an asteroid? There's clearly engineering and program benefits, but also factoring in scientific investigations, the humans-to-an-asteroid idea becomes even more compelling, Durda suggested. Still, as NASA's NEAR-Shoemaker and Japan's Hayabusa robotic efforts verified, good asteroid science can be done minus humans on the scene.

"But look at how having astronauts actually there on the Moon improved both the quantity and quality of the science return from Apollo," Durda responded. "People have the judgment and creativity to select the best places to explore," he said, and coupled with the dexterity offered by on-site, no-delay use of telerobotics in early missions, can gather primo science and samples.

In general, a human mission to an asteroid offers an opportunity to take lunar-capable hardware and extend its reach to deep-space much sooner than would development of a full-up Mars-capable spacecraft, advised former astronaut, Tom Jones, a veteran of four shuttle flights.

Expeditionary treks to the asteroids enable NASA to grapple with many of the deep-space challenges in operations, communications, and life support without committing to a multi-year Mars mission profile, Jones told SPACE.com. "And we should gain immediate scientific returns, potential access to space resources like water, and familiarity with complex operations around objects that present a potential hazard to Earth," Jones added.

Can the infrastructure coming out of the Orion Crew Exploration Vehicle work be utilized for asteroid journeys? The Crew Exploration Vehicle could be the nucleus of an asteroid mission, Jones said, furnishing some of the propulsion, communication, and habitation space needed, as well as the obvious reentry capability.

"By using the low Earth orbit-rendezvous approach planned for lunar missions, a spacecraft using other Constellation or International Space Station components might be able to perform a multi-month mission to a near-Earth object in a favorable orbit," Jones said.

A human mission to an asteroid could be viewed somewhat as a gap-filler. "After a lunar visit, we face a long interval in Earth-Moon space while we build up experience and technology for a Mars mission," Jones suggested. An asteroid mission "could take us immediately into deep-space, sustaining program momentum, adding public excitement, and reducing the risk of a later Mars mission," he said.

"Near-Earth object exploration is especially important if the Moon turns out to be bereft of extractable resources," Jones pointed out. "Astronauts could collect a rich array of samples from the most scientifically interesting sites on the near-Earth object-dating back to the earliest days of the solar system-set up a pilot resource extraction experiment, demonstrate technology necessary for a future near-Earth object deflection mission, and look back at Earth from millions of miles away. The view would be breathtaking," he said.

A human journey to an asteroid stretches our deep-space legs, Jones said, "and challenges ourselves operationally even after we return to the Moon." The key to sustaining a long and spirited exploration program "is to keep new results coming in and our imaginations looking out...way out beyond the Moon," Jones concluded.